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Financial Market Behavior and Appropriate Regulation over the Business Cycle


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May 8, 2002 to May 10, 2002
Chicago, IL
Wednesday, May 8 | Thursday, May 9 | Friday, May 10

Wednesday, May 8
     
7:30 a.m.   Registration & Continental Breakfast

8:25 a.m.   Welcoming Remarks

William C. Hunter, Senior Vice President and Director of Research, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

8:30 a.m.   Relationship Lending

Moderator and Discussant
  • Gregory F. Udell, Bank One Chair of Banking and Finance, Indiana University
Does Function Follow Organizational Form? Evidence from the Lending Practices of Large and Small Banks
  • Allen Berger, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
  • Nathan Miller, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
  • Mitchell Petersen, Northwestern University
  • Raghuram Rajan, University of Chicago
  • Jeremy Stein, Harvard University
Building Relationships Early: Banks in Venture Capital
  • Thomas Hellmann, Stanford University
  • Laura Lindsey, Stanford University
  • Manju Puri, Stanford University
Distance, Lending Relationships, and Competition
  • Hans Degryse, Catholic University of Leuven and Tilburg University
  • Steven Ongena, Tilburg University


10:00 a.m.   Break

10:20 a.m.   The Impact of Regulation and Regulatory Practices

Moderator and Discussant
  • Jean-Charles Rochet, Institut d'Économie Industrielle (IDEI) (Institute of Industrial Economics), Université des Sciences Sociales (Toulouse University)
Liquidity Shortages and Crises
  • Douglas Diamond, University of Chicago
  • Raghuram Rajan, University of Chicago
Capital Requirements, Market Power, and Risk-Taking in Banking
  • Rafael Repullo, Center for Monetary and Financial Studies and Center for Economic Policy Research
Market Forces at Work in the Banking Industry: Evidence from the Capital Buildup of the 1990s (PDF,729KB)
  • Mark J. Flannery, University of Florida
  • Kasturi P. Rangan, Case Western Reserve University


12:00 p.m.   Luncheon

1:20 p.m.   Banking Strategies

Moderator and Discussant
  • Mike Fishman, Northwestern University
The Effects of Focus and Diversification on Bank Risk and Return: Evidence from Individual Bank Loan Portfolios (PDF,1.7MB)
  • Viral V. Acharya, London Business School
  • Iftekhar Hasan, New Jersey Institute of Technology
  • Anthony Saunders, New York University
Legal Risk as a Determinant of Syndicate Structure in the Project Finance Loan Market (PDF,164KB)
  • Benjamin C. Esty, Harvard Business School
  • William L. Megginson, The University of Oklahoma
Do Banks Strategically Time Public Bond Issuance to Manipulate the Accompanying Disclosure, Due Diligence, and Investor Scrutiny? (PDF,414KB)
  • Daniel Covitz, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
  • Paul Harrison, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Price Ceilings as Focal Points for Tacit Collusion: Evidence from Credit Cards (PDF,374KB)
  • Christopher Knittel, Boston University
  • Victor Stango, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago


3:10 p.m.   Break

3:30 p.m.   Optimal Regulatory Policies

Moderator and Discussant
  • Charles W. Calomiris, Columbia University
Deposit Insurance, Moral Hazard, and Market Monitoring
  • Reint Gropp, European Central Bank
  • Jukka Vesala, European Central Bank
A Real Options Approach to Bankruptcy Costs: Evidence from Failed Commercial Banks during the 1990s (PDF,375KB)
  • Joseph Mason, Drexel University
Moral Hazard and Optimal Subsidiary Structure for Financial Institutions
  • Charles Kahn, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
  • Andrew Winton, University of Minnesota


5:15 p.m.   Reception

Thursday, May 9
     
7:00 a.m.   Registration

8:15 a.m.   Welcoming Remarks

Michael Moskow, President and Chief Executive Officer
Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

8:25 a.m.   September 11th: Implications for the Financial Services Sector

Moderator
  • Robert Yohanan, Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer, First Bank & Trust; and Director, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
  • Roger Ferguson, Governor, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
  • Alice Fisher, Deputy Assistant Attorney General, U.S. Department of Justice
  • Alexander C. Frank, Managing Director and Global Treasurer, Morgan Stanley Dean Witter, Inc.


9:45 a.m.   Break

10:10 a.m.   Conference Theme Panel: Financial Market Behavior and Appropriate Regulation over the Business Cycle

Moderator
  • William C. Hunter, Senior Vice President and Director of Research, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
Changes In Risk Through Time: Measurement and Policy Response (PDF,8KB)
  • Charles Goodhart, Norman Sosnow Professor of Banking and Finance, London School of Economics
  • Sean Ryan, Managing Director, Fulcrum Global Partners
Taking Care With Capital Rules: Why Getting Them Right Matters So Much (PDF,11KB)
  • Karen Shaw Petrou, Managing Partner, Federal Financial Analytics
  • Richard Spillenkothen, Director of Division of Banking Supervision and Regulation, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System


12:05 p.m.   Luncheon

Moderator
  • Robert J. Darnall, Chairman, Prime Advantage Chicago; and Director, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
Keynote
  • John D. Hawke, Jr., Comptroller of the Currency


1:50 p.m.   Bank Capital Reform: Current Status and Open Issues

Moderator
  • George Kaufman, John F. Smith, Jr. Professor of Economics and Finance, Loyola University Chicago
  • Nicholas Le Pan, Canadian Superintendent of Financial Institutions and Head, Basel Capital Accord Implementation Group
Capital Regulation: Full Speed Capital Regulation:Full Speed Ahead on the Wrong Track (PDF,37KB)
  • Richard J. Herring, Jacob Safra Professor of International Banking, The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania
  • Michael Ong, Executive Vice President and Chief Risk Officer, Crédit Agricole Indosuez
Quantification of Operational Risk (PPT,84KB)
  • Eric Rosengren, Senior Vice President, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston


3:40 p.m.   Break

4:00 p.m.   Concurrent Sessions

Session A: Regulatory Structure and Practices

Moderator
  • Hesna Genay, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
What are the Advantages and Disadvantages of Having Responsibility for Macroeconomic Policy and Bank Regulation Combined within a Single Agency? (PPT,89KB)
  • Ron Feldman, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
  • Jangyroul Kim, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
  • Preston Miller, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
  • Jason Schmidt, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
Does Monetary Policy Affect the Central Bank's Role in Bank Supervision? (PDF,302KB)
  • Vasso P. Ioannidou, Tilburg University
Is Three a Crowd? Competition among Regulators (PDF,180KB)
  • Richard Rosen, Indiana University
Session B: (De)Regulation and Consumer Welfare

Moderator
  • James T. Moser, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
Are Mergers Beneficial to Consumers? (PDF,258KB)
  • Dario Focarelli, Bank of Italy
  • Fabio Panetta, Bank of Italy
Does the Community Reinvestment Act (CRA) Cause Banks to Provide a Subsidy to Some Mortgage Borrowers?
  • Glenn Canner, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
  • Elizabeth Laderman, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
  • Andreas Lehnert, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
  • Wayne Passmore, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Who is Unbanked and Why? (PDF,77KB)
  • Todd Vermilyea, Office of the Comptroller of the Currency
  • James A. Wilcox, University of California, Berkeley


5:45 p.m.   Reception

Friday, May 10
     
7:30 a.m.   Continental Breakfast

8:45 a.m.   Welcoming Comments

Michael Moskow, President and Chief Executive Officer
Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

Michael Moskow's Introduction of Alan Greenspan

9:00 a.m.   Keynote Address

Alan Greenspan, Chairman, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

9:50 a.m.   Break

10:20 a.m.   Concurrent Sessions

Session C: Geographic Expansion and Market Concentration in Banking

Moderator
  • Elijah Brewer III, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
Technological Progress and the Geographic Expansion of the Banking Industry
  • Allen N. Berger, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
  • Robert DeYoung, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
Market Concentration and Loan Portfolios in Commercial Banking
  • Daniel Bergstresser, Massachusetts Institutes of Technology
Does Bank Concentration Lead to Concentration in Industrial Sectors? (PDF,207KB)
  • Nicola Cetorelli, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
Session D: Bank Behavior and Macroeconomic Activity

Moderator
  • Mark Carey, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Bank Integration and Business Volatility
  • Donald P. Morgan, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
  • Bertrand Rime, Swiss National Bank
  • Philip E. Strahan, Boston College
Do Borrowers' Financial Constraints Amplify the Impact of Monetary Policy? (PDF,163KB)
  • Adam B. Ashcraft, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
  • Murillo Campello, Michigan State University
The Credit Cycle and the Business Cycle: New Findings Using the Survey of Senior Loan Officers (PDF,183KB)
  • Cara S. Lown, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
  • Donald P. Morgan, Federal Reserve Bank of New York


12:00 p.m.   Luncheon Presentation

Moderator
  • Michael Moskow, President and Chief Executive Officer, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
Keynote
  • Donald E. Powell, Chairman, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation


1:55 p.m.   Resolving Large Complex Financial Organizations

Moderator
  • Robert R. Bliss, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
  • John Bovenzi, Deputy to the Chairman and Chief Operating Officer, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation
  • Mark Harding, Partner, Clifford Chance LLP
  • Paul Wright, Head of Department in the Major Financial Groups Division, Financial Services Authority (UK)
  • Robert Pickel, Executive Director and Chief Executive Officer, International Swaps and Derivatives Association, Inc. (ISDA)
  • Kenneth Scott, Ralph M. Parsons Professor of Law and Business, Emeritus, Stanford Law School


     
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