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Chicago Fed Letter

Zain Mohey-Deen and Richard J. Rosen

This article examines what happens when incorrect assumptions are made in pricing new insurance products. The focus is on the mispricing of long-term care (LTC) insurance—which led to the insolvency of Penn Treaty.

Thomas Haasl, Anna Paulson, and Sam Schulhofer-Wohl

Currency is traditionally the largest liability of a central bank and today accounts for 36% of the Federal Reserve’s liabilities, or $1.59 trillion. The Fed supplies currency to meet demand, so changes in the demand for currency will be an important determinant of how the Fed’s balance sheet evolves in the future. In this Chicago Fed Letter, we examine currency demand around the world and over time to learn about the range of possibilities for how U.S. currency demand might change. We then project currency demand over the next decade in several illustrative scenarios.

Thomas Haasl, Anna Paulson, and Sam Schulhofer-Wohl

Throughout the financial crisis and its aftermath from late 2008 through October 2014, the Federal Reserve used asset purchases as a potent tool of monetary policy—buying longer-term Treasury and mortgage-backed securities to provide economic stimulus beyond what traditional policy approaches could produce. Consequently, the size and composition of the Fed’s balance sheet changed significantly over this period.

Romel Bonilla, Jenna Cooper, Adam Emmerich, Theresa Hembd, Pamela Kennedy, Blake Marquart, and Joseph Nashar

The 12th annual Community Bankers Symposium, cosponsored by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC), was held at the Chicago Fed on November 17, 2017. During a full day of speeches and panels, a group of 125 community banking executives, financial industry practitioners, and supervisory agency professionals who work in the Seventh Federal Reserve District explored the changing landscape for community banking. This article summarizes the event’s key presentations and discussions.

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