Charles Evans
President and CEO
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Source: Chicago Fed staff calculations based on data from Haver Analytics.

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What is driving the return spread between “safe” and “risky” assets? Low interest rates should have stimulated investment, leading to an economic expansion until the return on capital was as low as the safe interest rate. This did not happen. Why not? Senior economist Francois Gourio and his coauthor consider four potential causes.
Chicago Fed Letter finds that high levels of flooding from Hurricane Harvey were associated with modest increases in auto loan balances, but moderate decreases in mortgage balances. In general, the storm did not hurt consumers’ credit access according to the limited measures investigated.

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Chicago Fed National Activity Index Points to a Pickup in Economic Growth in May
Does Automation Always Lead to a Decline in Low-wage Jobs?
Detroit Economic Activity Index Points to Slower Growth in March
AgLetter Reports Steady Midwest Farmland Values in First Quarter
Chicago Fed Survey of Business Conditions Shows Growth Slowed Some in April and Early May
Telephone Spoofing Scam Alert
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