• Print
  • Email

Working Paper, No. 2018-14, 2018 Crossref
Discretion Rather than Rules: Equilibrium Uniqueness and Forward Guidance with Inconsistent Optimal Plans (REVISED January 2019)

New Keynesian economies with active interest rate rules gain equilibrium determinacy from the central bank's incredible off-equilibrium-path promises (Cochrane, 2011). We suppose instead that the central bank sets interest rate paths and occasionally has the discretion to change them. With empirically-reasonable frequencies of central bank reoptimization, the monetary policy game has a unique Markov-perfect equilibrium wherein forward guidance influences current outcomes without displaying a forward guidance puzzle.

Having trouble accessing something on this page? Please send us an email and we will get back to you as quickly as we can.

Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, 230 South LaSalle Street, Chicago, Illinois 60604-1413, USA. Tel. (312) 322-5322

Copyright © 2020. All rights reserved.

Please review our Privacy Policy | Legal Notices