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Tuesday, 08/25/26
11:00 AM
Introduction
Speaker
Kristen Broady, Senior Economist and Economic Advisor and Director of the Economic Mobility Project, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
11:03 AM
Research Presentation, An Ex-Post Evaluation of Automation Forecasts During a Period of Rapid AI Advancement
Speaker
Kristen Broady, Senior Economist and Economic Advisor and Director of the Economic Mobility Project, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
11:15 AM
Moderated Panel Discussion
Moderator
Jim Lecinski, Clinical Professor of Marketing, Northwestern University
Panelists
Antwi Akom, Founding Director of UCSF/SFSU’s Social Innovation and Urban Opportunity Lab (SOUL), University of California San Francisco and San Francisco State University
J. Edward Colgate, Walter P. Murphy Professor of Mechanical Engineering, and Director , NSF Engineering Research Center on Human AugmentatioN via Dexterity (HAND), Northwestern University
Scott Ransom, Senior Director, Industry and Innovation Ecosystem, NSF Engineering Research Center on Human AugmentatioN via Dexterity (HAND), Northwestern University
11:58 AM
Closing Remarks
Speaker
Kristen Broady, Senior Economist and Economic Advisor and Director of the Economic Mobility Project, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

Workers and AI Impact How Do Past Forecasts Compare to the Present Reality

As firms increase investments in AI infrastructure, automation, and digital workflows, questions have emerged about how these changes may affect employment across industries. While not all recent workforce reductions can be directly attributed to AI, many have occurred alongside announcements of expanded AI investment, restructuring, or automation initiatives.

With the introduction and growing application of generative artificial intelligence, some work tasks that were previously predicted to be less affected by automation are now being successfully completed or assisted by AI systems. These developments raise an important question: How well do earlier forecasts of automation risk align with what has actually happened in the labor market?

On August 25 at 11:00 a.m. CT, join the Chicago Fed’s Economic Mobility Project for Workers and AI Impact: How Do Past Forecasts Compare to the Present Reality?, a virtual event during which Kristen Broady, director of the Economic Mobility Project, will present recent research examining how employment and wages changed from 2019 to 2024 across occupations with varying levels of automation risk and AI applicability.

The presentation will be followed by a panel discussion with:

  • Antwi Akom, Founding Director of the University of California San Francisco/San Francisco State University’s Social Innovation and Urban Opportunity Lab;
  • Edward Colgate, Walter P. Murphy Professor of Mechanical Engineering at Northwestern University; and
  • Scott Ransom, Senior Director for the Industry and Innovation Ecosystem for the HAND ERC at Northwestern University.

The conversation will be moderated by Jim Lecinski, Clinical Professor of Marketing at Northwestern University.

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