Indexes Point to Still Above-Trend Growth in October
The Brave-Butters-Kelley (BBK) Coincident Index was 2.0 standard deviations from trend growth in October 2020, and the BBK Leading Index was 2.6 standard deviations from trend growth. In annualized real gross domestic product (GDP) units, the trend component of BBK Monthly GDP Growth was 2.3% in October and the cycle component was 6.7%. The leading subcomponent contributed 5.8% and the lagging subcomponent contributed 0.9% to the cycle component of BBK Monthly GDP Growth.