Indexes Point to Continued Above-Trend Growth in January
The Brave-Butters-Kelley (BBK) Coincident Index was 1 standard deviation from trend growth in January 2021, and the BBK Leading Index was 1.2 standard deviations from trend growth. In annualized real gross domestic product (GDP) units, the trend component of BBK Monthly GDP Growth was 2.4% in January and the cycle component was 3.2%. The leading subcomponent contributed 2.6% and the lagging subcomponent contributed 0.6% to the cycle component of BBK Monthly GDP Growth.