Indexes Suggest Monthly GDP Growth Slightly Below Trend in September
The Brave-Butters-Kelley (BBK) Coincident Index was at trend growth in September 2021, and the BBK Leading Index was –1.0 standard deviations from trend growth. In annualized real gross domestic product (GDP) units, BBK Monthly GDP Growth was 2.2% in September. The trend component contributed 2.4%, the cycle component contributed –0.1%, and the irregular component contributed –0.1%. The leading subcomponent contributed –2.0% and the lagging subcomponent contributed 2.0% to the cycle component of BBK Monthly GDP Growth.