Publications Listing
Rethinking Automation Risk: AI Applicability and Occupational Outcomes, 2019–24
Kristen Broady, Caleb Dunson, Anthony Barr | 2026 | Working Papers | No. 2026-12 | July
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The Inefficient Markets Hypothesis: A Theory of Casino Capitalism
Christian Hellwig | 2026 | Working Papers | No. 2026-11 | June
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Making Sense of Labor-Market Indicators Amid Data Imperfections
Scott A. Brave, Erin Crust, Stefano Eusepi, Bart Hobijn, Ayşegül Şahin | 2026 | Working Papers | No. 2026-10 | May
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The Chicago Fed Labor Market Indicators: Bridging the Gap with Alternative Labor Data
Scott A. Brave, Ben Henken, Ezra Karger, Aryan Safi | 2026 | Working Papers | No. 2026-09 | May
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Sovereign Risk with Endogenous Debt Limits
Fernando Arce, Alessandro Villa | 2026 | Working Papers | No. 2026-08 | May
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Forecasting the Economic Effects of AI
Ezra Karger, Otto Kuusela, Jason Abaluc, Kevin Bryan, Basil Halperin, Todd Jones, Connacher Murphy, Phil Trammell, Matt Reynolds, Dan Mayland, Ria Viswanathan, Ananaya Mittal, Rebecca Ceppas de Castro, Josh Rosenberg, Philip E. Tetlock | 2026 | Working Papers | No. 2026-07 | May
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Taxing Entrepreneurs and Workers: A Linear Optimization Approach for Multidimensional Screening
Nicolò Ceneri, Giuseppe Lopomo, Alessandro Villa, Nicolas Werquin | 2026 | Working Papers | No. 2026-06 | April
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Job Search, Job Amenities, and the Gender Pay Gap
Jason Faberman, Andreas I. Mueller, Ayşegül Şahin | 2026 | Working Papers | No. 2026-05 | April
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Eliciting the Marginal Propensity to Consume in Surveys
Thomas F. Crossley, Paul Fisher, Peter Levell, Hamish Low | 2026 | Working Papers | No. 2026-04 | March
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The Impact of Non-Competes on Wages and Job Tenure: New Evidence from NLSY Data
Tristan Potter, André Kurmann, Bart Hobijn | 2026 | Working Papers | No. 2026-03 | March
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