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Working Papers, No. 2023-42, November 2023 Crossref
Robots, Tools, and Jobs: Evidence from Brazilian Labor Markets

(Revised May 23, 2025)

How do robots and tools affect employment and labor market inequality? Using natural language processing and an instrumental variable approach, we discover that robots lead to a sizable decrease in the employment and wages of low-skilled workers in operational occupations. However, tools, i.e., machines that complement labor, lead to an equally large reinstatement of these workers, increasing their employment and wages. Using a quantitative model, we find that the lower prices of robots and tools over the last 20 years have reduced labor market inequality and increased welfare without significantly affecting employment.


Working papers are not edited, and all opinions and errors are the responsibility of the author(s). The views expressed do not necessarily reflect the views of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago or the Federal Reserve System.

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