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Working Papers, No. 2024-17, August 2024 Crossref
Natural Disasters, Local Bank Market Share, and Economic Recovery

(Revised August 15, 2024)

The frequency and severity of natural disasters have increased over the past few decades. Credit from private banking sources is a critical source of funding following a natural disaster. New post-disaster mortgage and home loan credit is two orders of magnitude larger than the level of federal disaster assistance provided to disaster-affected residents. US Interstate bank deregulation during the 1980s and 1990s led to larger, nationally diversified banks, and a decline in the number of local community banks. Economic theory suggests that community banks may have a greater incentive, but a lower capacity, to lend to a region following a destructive event such as a natural disaster. We test whether there are differences in post-disaster credit allocation and regional redevelopment based on the concentration of local banking at the time of a natural disaster. We isolate the causal role that banking institutions have on the supply of credit by instrumenting for the composition of local and national banking institutions in a region at the time of a natural disaster using state-level bank deregulation. Overall, we find that there is less new credit in disaster regions for about five years following a natural disaster. The reduction in credit is greater in regions with a higher concentration of local banking. Regions with a higher concentration of local banking are also characterized by somewhat weaker redevelopment as measured by wage and population growth.


Working papers are not edited, and all opinions and errors are the responsibility of the author(s). The views expressed do not necessarily reflect the views of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago or the Federal Reserve System.

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