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David Kelley

David Kelley is a senior associate economist in the economic research department at the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.

Chicago Fed Letter
Which Leading Indicators Have Done Better at Signaling Past Recessions?
David Kelley | 2019 | No. 425 Download
A “Big Data” View of the U.S. Economy: Introducing the Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes
Scott A. Brave, Ross Cole, David Kelley | 2019 | No. 422 Download
Why Does the Yield-Curve Slope Predict Recessions?1
Luca Benzoni, Olena Chyruk, David Kelley | 2018 | No. 404 Download
What Does Labor Market Tightness Tell Us About the End of an Expansion?
Scott A. Brave, David Kelley | 2018 | No. 403 Download
Introducing the Chicago Fed’s New Adjusted National Financial Conditions Index
Scott A. Brave, David Kelley | 2017 | No. 386 Download
Is There Still Slack in the Labor Market?
Daniel Aaronson, Scott A. Brave, David Kelley | 2016 | No. 359 Download
Economic Perspectives
A New “Big Data” Index of U.S. Economic Activity
Scott A. Brave, R. Andrew Butters, David Kelley | 2019 | Vol. 43 | No. 2019-1 | February Download

Working Papers
Why Does the Yield-Curve Slope Predict Recessions?
Luca Benzoni, Olena Chyruk, David Kelley | 2018 | No. 2018-15 Download
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